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Red14
186812.0
1926.8
91148.0
Blue29
23677.4
95048.7
499011.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442701020405060701429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1868
#10
12.02.8
15.813.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
red by 0.4
4990
#29
11.60.3
9.09.2
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
Second
9114
#22
8.02.8
8.45.6
Auto4.5
Teleop1.5
End2.1
blue by 0.7
9504
#32
8.70.3
9.49.7
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Third
192
#36
6.82.8
13.310.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 0.6
2367
#26
7.40.3
8.28.5
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed