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Red80
167847.4
804816.8
20359.8
Blue51
330912.0
98726.5
741311.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524530406070808051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.43.3
24.928.2
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 20.9
987
#4
26.51.1
18.719.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
Second
8048
#30
16.83.3
13.616.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 4.8
3309
#17
12.01.1
12.613.6
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
2035
#18
9.83.3
7.711.0
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End1.8
blue by 2.1
7413
#24
11.91.1
10.011.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
30%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed