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Red56
623813.2
10019.5
66812.3
Blue69
247318.3
20359.8
60431.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446420801001205669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100
#8
19.51.6
15.116.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 11.7
604
#5
31.31.5
29.531.0
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Second
6238
#12
13.21.6
16.117.7
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End0.9
blue by 5.1
18.31.5
15.216.8
Auto3.6
Teleop12.8
End2.0
Third
668
#19
12.31.6
10.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
red by 2.5
2035
#18
9.81.5
10.712.2
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed