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Red51
741311.9
840413.8
67019.8
Blue48
912515.2
135116.3
10019.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48572030407080905148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
670
#15
19.80.6
19.219.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
red by 0.3
100
#8
19.50.3
16.816.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
8404
#14
13.80.7
13.614.3
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 2.5
1351
#33
16.30.3
17.016.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Third
7413
#24
11.90.6
11.412.1
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.4
blue by 3.3
9125
#20
15.20.3
16.916.6
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed