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Red56
98726.5
135116.3
804816.8
Blue61
947016.4
84123.5
186812.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60532040801005661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.50.2
24.724.9
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 3.0
841
#3
23.50.2
23.923.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
Second
8048
#30
16.80.2
12.312.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 0.5
9470
#25
16.40.2
12.812.7
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
Third
1351
#33
16.30.2
16.817.0
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
red by 4.3
1868
#10
12.00.2
12.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned