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Red28
196714.1
30087.4
69186.0
Blue29
95048.7
63487.6
20359.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273802060801002829

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1967
#31
14.10.0
11.911.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 4.3
2035
#18
9.81.6
12.310.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.7
End1.8
Second
3008
#37
7.40.0
7.77.7
Auto2.9
Teleop3.2
End1.3
blue by 1.3
9504
#32
8.71.6
10.99.4
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End0.8
Third
6918
#42
6.00.0
6.46.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.3
End1.1
blue by 1.6
6348
#38
7.61.6
9.47.9
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed