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Red62
196714.1
50273.7
98726.5
Blue36
385911.2
51048.8
25311.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45320204060801006236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.51.9
24.926.8
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 14.6
253
#21
11.90.5
11.411.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Second
1967
#31
14.11.9
11.913.8
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
red by 2.9
3859
#28
11.20.5
10.711.2
Auto6.6
Teleop3.0
End1.5
Third
5027
#39
3.71.7
2.03.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
blue by 5.0
5104
#35
8.80.5
8.28.8
Auto2.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned