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Red29
85466.3
499011.6
623813.2
Blue70
67019.8
281310.7
330912.0
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35470204060802970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6238
#12
13.20.7
13.913.2
Auto5.5
Teleop6.9
End0.9
blue by 6.6
670
#15
19.80.7
20.120.8
Auto3.9
Teleop15.3
End0.6
Second
4990
#29
11.60.7
12.211.6
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End3.1
blue by 0.4
3309
#17
12.00.7
11.312.0
Auto2.7
Teleop8.2
End1.2
Third
8546
#40
6.30.7
7.06.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.6
End0.8
blue by 4.4
2813
#11
10.70.8
9.910.7
Auto1.8
Teleop8.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed