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Red60
804816.8
741916.8
1926.8
Blue31
502613.3
63487.6
66812.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3738203050606031

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7419
#13
16.80.7
15.316.0
Auto4.8
Teleop12.1
End-0.0
red by 3.6
5026
#34
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto5.4
Teleop7.4
End0.5
Second
8048
#30
16.80.7
12.513.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 4.5
668
#19
12.30.2
12.612.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Third
192
#36
6.80.7
6.47.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 0.8
6348
#38
7.60.2
7.97.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed