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Red49
840413.8
912515.2
58133.5
Blue17
25311.9
66812.3
50273.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48331020304060704917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
581
#1
33.50.6
16.617.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 21.2
668
#19
12.31.7
13.111.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End1.6
Second
9125
#20
15.20.6
13.714.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.7
red by 3.3
253
#21
11.91.7
10.18.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End3.9
Third
8404
#14
13.80.6
11.412.0
Auto6.1
Teleop7.3
End0.4
red by 10.0
5027
#39
3.71.7
8.77.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop4.5
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed