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Red141
804816.8
58133.5
167847.4
Blue77
60431.3
947016.4
325623.3
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1086405015020014177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.2
45.446.6
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 16.2
604
#5
31.30.4
28.428.8
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
Second
581
#1
33.51.1
31.732.8
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 10.2
23.30.3
20.721.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
Third
8048
#30
16.81.1
15.016.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 0.5
9470
#25
16.40.3
13.814.1
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0