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Red103
325623.3
947016.4
60431.3
Blue58
10019.5
97216.9
207315.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7354020408010012014010358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
31.30.9
28.829.7
Auto9.7
Teleop19.7
End1.9
red by 11.7
100
#8
19.50.2
19.419.5
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
23.30.8
21.121.9
Auto9.2
Teleop11.8
End2.3
red by 6.4
972
#16
16.90.2
16.716.9
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Third
9470
#25
16.40.8
14.114.9
Auto10.3
Teleop6.1
End0.0
red by 0.8
2073
#23
15.50.2
15.415.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2