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Red31
98726.5
84123.5
1926.8
Blue53
135116.3
186812.0
196714.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions674302060801001203153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#4
26.50.7
26.826.1
Auto10.8
Teleop14.7
End1.0
red by 10.2
1351
#33
16.30.2
16.016.2
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End1.1
Second
841
#3
23.50.7
23.823.1
Auto6.9
Teleop15.0
End1.6
red by 9.4
1967
#31
14.10.2
13.813.9
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Third
192
#36
6.80.7
7.16.4
Auto1.6
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 5.2
1868
#10
12.00.2
11.711.9
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.2