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Red124
804816.8
58133.5
167847.4
Blue59
10019.5
97216.9
207315.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10746015020012459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.40.9
44.545.4
Auto18.8
Teleop22.2
End6.4
red by 27.9
100
#8
19.50.2
18.518.7
Auto4.6
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
581
#1
33.50.9
30.931.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.1
End5.0
red by 16.6
972
#16
16.90.2
15.916.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End1.6
Third
8048
#30
16.80.9
14.215.0
Auto6.6
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 1.3
2073
#23
15.50.2
14.514.6
Auto4.9
Teleop9.4
End1.2