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Red47
59725.4
242919.5
Blue99
441918.7
265927.6
715728.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60840501001502004799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#20
25.40.7
27.326.7
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End1.1
blue by 2.6
28.00.6
20.620.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End0.8
Second
2429
#24
19.50.7
23.122.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
blue by 8.0
27.60.6
32.732.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
6.51.1
6.65.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 12.2
4419
#14
18.70.6
19.619.0
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsEarned