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Red36
407919.4
59912.2
1148B11.8
Blue22
601722.7
97316.3
315817.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions547801001502003622

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.41.0
22.621.6
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End0.3
blue by 3.4
6017
#40
22.73.1
25.922.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
Second
599
#44
12.21.0
15.814.7
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.5
blue by 5.4
3158
#36
17.73.1
19.216.1
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
Third
11.81.7
13.411.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.8
End0.9
blue by 4.5
973
#32
16.33.1
22.919.9
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed