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Red56
210225.1
392513.3
162217.6
Blue65
696B13.4
908423.0
441918.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645701001502005665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#34
25.11.2
20.419.3
Auto8.6
Teleop15.5
End1.0
red by 2.1
9084
#10
23.00.4
26.326.7
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
Second
1622
#28
17.61.2
16.615.5
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 1.1
4419
#14
18.70.4
19.219.6
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.2
Third
3925
#43
13.31.2
19.318.1
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
blue by 0.1
696B
#17
13.46.1
13.47.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed