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Red76
908423.0
68727.7
312821.0
Blue38
351212.5
37594.0
420119.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions934501507638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#46
27.70.2
33.132.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
red by 8.0
4201
#15
19.71.2
21.520.3
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Second
9084
#10
23.00.2
26.226.0
Auto10.4
Teleop8.6
End3.9
red by 10.5
3512
#38
12.51.2
16.315.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.2
End3.8
Third
3128
#18
21.00.2
19.119.0
Auto8.3
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 17.0
3759
#47
4.01.2
8.67.4
Auto1.7
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed