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Red57
97316.3
441918.7
441439.0
Blue86
386313.0
35933.9
119722.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98710501502002503005786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.01.9
46.444.5
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End5.0
red by 5.1
359
#3
33.90.9
31.832.7
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End4.4
Second
4419
#14
18.71.9
19.017.1
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.2
blue by 4.1
1197
#27
22.80.9
24.625.5
Auto11.3
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Third
973
#32
16.31.9
19.918.0
Auto1.0
Teleop14.6
End0.7
red by 3.2
3863
#29
13.00.9
10.811.7
Auto3.4
Teleop7.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsMissed46%Ensemble oddsMissed