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Red87
441918.7
664720.6
5199B38.0
Blue55
4415B11.1
601722.7
3512B15.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714602060801001201401608755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.02.8
24.827.6
Auto11.9
Teleop20.7
End5.4
red by 15.3
6017
#40
22.70.7
23.624.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
Second
6647
#39
20.61.7
19.821.5
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End0.9
red by 5.0
15.61.1
11.512.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.7
End5.0
Third
4419
#14
18.71.7
17.118.8
Auto4.1
Teleop13.4
End1.2
red by 7.6
11.11.1
9.610.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsEarned