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Red80
242919.5
420119.7
114831.2
Blue74
419.9
441439.0
392513.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77910501502008074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.3
27.427.7
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.4
blue by 7.7
39.00.8
44.543.7
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End5.0
Second
4201
#15
19.70.3
20.320.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.1
blue by 0.2
4
#23
19.90.8
17.416.6
Auto7.7
Teleop10.9
End1.4
Third
2429
#24
19.50.3
23.323.5
Auto8.9
Teleop9.6
End1.0
red by 6.2
3925
#43
13.30.8
18.717.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned67%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsMissed