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Red50
59912.2
432225.7
315817.7
Blue76
420119.7
441439.0
696B13.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions598201001502005076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.70.7
25.624.9
Auto8.0
Teleop14.9
End2.8
blue by 13.3
39.00.4
43.743.3
Auto14.0
Teleop20.0
End5.0
Second
3158
#36
17.70.7
16.716.0
Auto7.2
Teleop9.1
End1.4
blue by 2.0
4201
#15
19.70.4
20.520.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.1
Third
599
#44
12.20.7
13.512.8
Auto3.9
Teleop7.9
End0.5
blue by 1.2
696B
#17
13.40.6
7.36.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed43%Ensemble oddsMissed