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Qual 392024 Tidal Tumble
Red84
3128B7.5
98021.2
940832.9
Blue45
392513.3
1138B6.5
119722.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564801002003004005006008445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
32.92.3
29.2→31.5
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 10.1
1197
#27
22.80.3
24.3→24.0
Auto11.3
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Second
980
#13
21.22.3
14.7→17.0
Auto7.7
Teleop11.0
End2.5
red by 7.9
3925
#43
13.30.3
17.9→17.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.9
End1.9
Third
3128B
#37
7.53.8
5.7→9.5
Auto4.4
Teleop2.4
End0.7
red by 1.0
1138B
#31
6.50.5
2.1→1.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed