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Red29
710213.3
145217.2
601722.7
Blue42
35933.9
114831.2
80062.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7474304050607080901002942

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6017
#40
22.73.0
28.925.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End2.1
blue by 11.2
359
#3
33.91.5
31.029.5
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End4.4
Second
1452
#41
17.23.0
19.716.6
Auto8.7
Teleop5.9
End2.6
blue by 14.1
31.21.5
31.329.8
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.4
Third
7102
#30
13.33.0
21.118.1
Auto5.5
Teleop6.0
End1.8
red by 10.4
8006
#48
2.91.5
2.51.0
Auto0.9
Teleop2.3
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
51%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed69%Ensemble oddsMissed