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Red68
35933.9
312821.0
162217.6
Blue48
664720.6
265927.6
407919.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8078506070901006848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#3
33.90.3
33.833.5
Auto12.5
Teleop17.0
End4.4
red by 6.4
27.61.5
29.828.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Second
3128
#18
21.00.3
23.122.9
Auto8.3
Teleop11.1
End1.6
red by 0.4
6647
#39
20.61.5
22.120.6
Auto6.5
Teleop13.2
End0.9
Third
1622
#28
17.60.3
15.014.7
Auto7.3
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 1.8
19.41.5
18.517.0
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed74%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
49%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsMissed