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Red91
407919.4
940832.9
68727.7
Blue106
114831.2
265927.6
420119.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8883406010012014091106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#12
32.90.2
32.732.9
Auto7.5
Teleop23.3
End2.2
red by 1.7
31.20.7
30.331.0
Auto8.7
Teleop20.2
End2.4
Second
687
#46
27.70.2
27.427.7
Auto10.0
Teleop17.6
End0.1
red by 0.1
27.60.7
26.627.3
Auto9.8
Teleop13.2
End4.6
Third
19.40.2
19.219.4
Auto3.7
Teleop15.3
End0.3
blue by 0.3
4201
#15
19.70.7
18.819.5
Auto5.8
Teleop12.8
End1.1