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Red46
85214.9
427614.0
138823.6
Blue27
80606.3
800514.0
321614.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393510203050604627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#11
23.60.7
13.013.7
Auto7.3
Teleop15.8
End0.5
red by 9.5
3216
#45
14.11.7
12.610.9
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Second
4276
#15
14.00.7
13.013.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Level
8005
#18
14.01.7
12.310.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
Third
8521
#39
4.90.7
8.69.3
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 1.4
8060
#44
6.31.7
7.05.4
Auto2.1
Teleop3.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed