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Red26
91723.9
69347.5
513614.8
Blue18
68856.9
3999.2
401413.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283015202535402618

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5136
#13
14.80.0
13.013.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
red by 1.9
4014
#19
13.01.0
11.110.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.1
End2.0
Second
6934
#35
7.50.0
5.55.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
blue by 1.6
399
#46
9.21.0
9.78.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Third
9172
#47
3.90.0
7.37.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
blue by 3.0
6885
#48
6.91.0
6.25.2
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed