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Red7
732710.6
91723.9
85214.9
Blue53
69347.5
583510.5
699520.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283310204050753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7327
#38
10.62.3
11.28.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 9.7
6995
#21
20.32.8
15.418.2
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Second
8521
#39
4.92.3
9.37.0
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 5.6
5835
#41
10.52.8
6.69.4
Auto7.3
Teleop2.2
End1.0
Third
9172
#47
3.92.3
7.35.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.6
End-0.2
blue by 3.7
6934
#35
7.52.8
5.68.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed