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Red35
392510.6
800514.0
528511.1
Blue57
448139.7
3999.2
113816.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256704060801001203557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8005
#18
14.00.3
10.610.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
blue by 25.7
39.70.1
32.232.3
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
Second
5285
#43
11.10.3
7.97.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.2
End1.0
blue by 5.5
1138
#30
16.60.2
14.614.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Third
3925
#10
10.60.3
9.08.8
Auto4.8
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 1.4
399
#46
9.20.2
8.78.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed