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Red19
16617.0
732311.6
85214.9
Blue63
374919.6
513614.8
581724.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2358040801001201963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7323
#22
11.60.6
8.47.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.7
End1.6
blue by 12.7
24.30.3
18.318.6
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
1661
#40
7.00.6
9.38.7
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
blue by 12.6
19.60.3
13.213.5
Auto7.3
Teleop11.5
End0.8
Third
8521
#39
4.90.6
7.06.4
Auto1.3
Teleop2.4
End1.2
blue by 10.0
5136
#13
14.80.3
16.717.0
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed