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Red47
11525.5
68856.9
732710.6
Blue69
321614.1
33287.1
908429.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424802060801004769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115
#3
25.50.9
21.822.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 4.1
29.63.0
22.625.6
Auto11.8
Teleop14.2
End3.6
Second
7327
#38
10.60.9
10.411.4
Auto5.1
Teleop4.6
End0.8
blue by 3.5
3216
#45
14.13.0
11.514.5
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
Third
6885
#48
6.90.9
6.47.3
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 0.2
3328
#28
7.11.8
8.210.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed