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Red55
347625.1
113816.6
513614.8
Blue7
94218.3
6916.5
815.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64310204080100120557

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.1
23.423.3
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.3
red by 9.3
8
#14
15.82.8
14.211.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
1138
#30
16.60.1
13.513.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 8.4
9421
#23
8.32.8
9.97.1
Auto4.1
Teleop2.0
End2.1
Third
5136
#13
14.80.1
17.016.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.7
End3.1
red by 8.3
691
#42
6.52.8
7.85.0
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed