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Red43
800514.0
473827.6
48177.4
Blue35
33287.1
815.8
606013.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4434102030405060704335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.1
16.416.3
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End3.1
red by 11.7
8
#14
15.80.3
15.315.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
8005
#18
14.00.1
11.511.5
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End1.3
red by 0.9
6060
#37
13.00.3
10.410.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
4817
#33
7.40.1
10.610.6
Auto3.2
Teleop3.0
End1.2
red by 0.3
3328
#28
7.10.3
6.56.7
Auto2.5
Teleop2.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed