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Red63
6916.5
321614.1
347625.1
Blue123
606013.0
448139.7
16617.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495920408010012063123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.10.7
25.225.9
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.3
blue by 14.6
39.71.4
35.737.1
Auto16.5
Teleop20.8
End2.5
Second
3216
#45
14.10.8
14.215.0
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
red by 1.1
6060
#37
13.02.0
11.013.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End1.8
Third
691
#42
6.50.8
5.86.5
Auto2.5
Teleop2.9
End1.1
blue by 0.5
1661
#40
7.01.9
5.17.0
Auto3.2
Teleop3.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed