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Red34
963513.8
699520.3
68856.9
Blue101
68728.1
11525.5
473827.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378920608010012014034101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6995
#21
20.31.2
17.115.9
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 7.8
687
#9
28.12.4
25.327.6
Auto11.0
Teleop15.9
End1.2
Second
9635
#20
13.80.9
14.914.1
Auto4.9
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 13.7
27.62.6
25.928.4
Auto9.7
Teleop14.8
End3.1
Third
6885
#48
6.91.2
8.06.9
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End1.0
blue by 18.6
115
#3
25.52.6
23.225.8
Auto8.5
Teleop14.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned