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Red74
138823.6
69621.7
113816.6
Blue82
58920.0
699520.3
581724.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68630501001507482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#11
23.60.4
23.223.6
Auto7.3
Teleop15.8
End0.5
blue by 0.7
24.30.6
21.722.3
Auto7.2
Teleop14.2
End2.9
Second
696
#17
21.70.3
21.421.7
Auto7.1
Teleop14.0
End0.5
red by 1.4
6995
#21
20.30.5
18.118.7
Auto4.7
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Third
1138
#30
16.60.4
16.316.6
Auto5.7
Teleop10.1
End0.8
blue by 3.4
589
#24
20.00.6
17.618.2
Auto6.3
Teleop10.9
End2.7