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Red53
541921.1
519927.9
325618.5
Blue110
281137.6
661925.7
97326.1
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7810605015020053110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#39
27.91.8
30.428.6
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End3.8
blue by 9.7
2811
#18
37.60.8
41.742.5
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
Second
5419
#22
21.11.8
20.118.3
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
blue by 5.1
973
#26
26.10.8
27.828.6
Auto5.0
Teleop19.8
End1.3
Third
3256
#43
18.51.8
23.521.7
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
blue by 7.1
6619
#32
25.70.8
23.424.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
81%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsEarned