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Red94
25440.8
204640.0
347628.8
Blue71
519927.9
680041.2
167834.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812780901001101201409471

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#13
40.81.5
44.543.0
Auto11.6
Teleop24.0
End5.2
blue by 0.4
6800
#34
41.23.1
44.841.8
Auto7.3
Teleop30.9
End3.0
Second
40.01.5
42.441.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 5.8
1678
#20
34.23.1
41.838.7
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Third
3476
#17
28.81.5
29.127.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.8
End4.5
red by 0.9
5199
#39
27.93.1
28.625.5
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
91%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsMissed