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Red66
114831.3
228818.8
449929.9
Blue144
632849.7
204640.0
803333.8
9%Model gave it91%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8914505010020066144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1148
#14
31.31.6
30.028.5
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
blue by 18.4
49.70.8
47.248.0
Auto14.6
Teleop29.1
End6.1
Second
4499
#12
29.91.6
33.732.2
Auto13.9
Teleop12.9
End3.0
blue by 10.2
40.00.8
41.041.8
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
Third
2288
#42
18.81.6
23.622.0
Auto7.1
Teleop8.9
End2.8
blue by 15.0
33.80.8
36.737.5
Auto12.1
Teleop20.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
66%Ensemble oddsEarned88%Ensemble oddsEarned