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Red92
908426.3
154027.8
204640.0
Blue85
281137.6
949636.2
115629.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104126501502009285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.00.6
39.639.0
Auto8.7
Teleop28.4
End3.0
red by 2.4
2811
#18
37.61.9
42.640.6
Auto9.4
Teleop22.4
End5.9
Second
1540
#16
27.80.6
28.828.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.7
End4.1
blue by 8.5
9496
#23
36.21.9
37.035.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
Third
9084
#30
26.30.6
28.027.4
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
blue by 3.1
1156
#28
29.51.9
32.430.4
Auto11.0
Teleop17.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsMissed97%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
88%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsMissed