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Red87
519927.9
427021.8
364715.7
Blue57
541921.1
581722.4
908426.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6483020401001201401608757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#39
27.91.3
26.427.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.4
End3.8
red by 1.6
9084
#30
26.31.1
27.426.3
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
Second
4270
#31
21.81.3
19.620.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.4
End4.5
blue by 0.6
5817
#36
22.41.1
23.422.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.1
End2.2
Third
3647
#33
15.71.3
14.415.7
Auto2.6
Teleop12.0
End1.1
blue by 5.4
5419
#22
21.11.1
22.121.1
Auto2.7
Teleop13.0
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsEarned61%Ensemble oddsEarned