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Red119
908426.3
644334.0
60441.2
Blue121
167834.2
331031.0
114831.3
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127129100110120140150119121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#5
41.20.3
40.840.5
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
red by 7.0
1678
#20
34.20.4
45.445.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.1
End4.2
Second
6443
#19
34.00.3
38.638.3
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
red by 2.6
1148
#14
31.30.4
31.832.2
Auto8.8
Teleop18.6
End3.9
Third
9084
#30
26.30.3
37.337.0
Auto10.9
Teleop10.3
End5.0
blue by 4.7
3310
#24
31.00.4
37.738.1
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
84%Ensemble oddsEarned89%Ensemble oddsEarned