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Red135
949636.2
603635.3
644334.0
Blue127
594039.9
60441.2
331031.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11312450100150200135127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9496
#23
36.20.4
35.736.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.9
End1.2
blue by 5.0
604
#5
41.20.4
40.941.2
Auto14.1
Teleop22.7
End4.5
Second
6036
#11
35.30.4
34.735.2
Auto6.9
Teleop27.4
End1.0
blue by 4.6
5940
#10
39.90.4
39.539.9
Auto10.0
Teleop24.3
End5.6
Third
6443
#19
34.00.4
33.433.8
Auto11.4
Teleop20.3
End2.3
red by 2.9
3310
#24
31.00.4
30.731.0
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End4.5