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Red109
680225.7
580436.0
172739.2
Blue55
173144.4
82309.5
558722.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10078406012014016010955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.21.4
36.437.8
Auto11.7
Teleop24.7
End2.7
blue by 5.2
44.41.2
44.243.0
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
Second
36.01.4
29.831.2
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
red by 13.1
5587
#10
22.91.2
18.317.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Third
6802
#22
25.71.4
21.723.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.7
End1.8
red by 16.3
8230
#53
9.51.2
10.59.3
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned78%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed