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Red75
832619.1
237720.9
313630.9
Blue80
236323.6
393920.8
337324.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66680501001507580

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#31
30.90.6
27.428.1
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
red by 6.6
3373
#12
24.41.2
17.118.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Second
2377
#28
20.90.6
16.517.2
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
blue by 2.7
23.61.2
26.327.5
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Third
8326
#36
19.10.6
16.316.9
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
blue by 1.6
3939
#25
20.81.2
18.219.4
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsMissed