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Red51
126220.6
289016.6
970918.5
Blue40
53928.7
454117.2
11118.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595940455055657075805140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#29
20.60.2
15.715.5
Auto7.2
Teleop10.2
End3.1
blue by 8.1
539
#15
28.70.8
24.823.9
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Second
9709
#21
18.50.2
18.818.7
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 1.2
4541
#47
17.20.8
21.921.1
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Third
2890
#41
16.60.2
19.219.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End2.2
red by 7.9
1111
#44
8.70.8
6.05.2
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed