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Red64
511516.5
558722.9
218615.8
Blue56
82309.5
210629.1
907231.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions508502040601001201406456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#10
22.91.0
17.118.1
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 8.5
9072
#26
31.41.1
33.432.3
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
Second
5115
#43
16.51.0
15.716.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 12.6
2106
#16
29.11.1
30.329.2
Auto9.2
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Third
2186
#37
15.81.0
16.317.3
Auto3.0
Teleop11.9
End0.8
red by 6.3
8230
#53
9.51.1
9.38.1
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed