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Red107
42228.8
173144.4
171910.8
Blue66
88824.5
832619.1
68627.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90722040608010012014016010766

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.40.5
43.043.5
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
red by 16.6
686
#18
27.80.1
28.628.5
Auto11.6
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
422
#30
28.80.5
27.427.9
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
red by 4.3
888
#17
24.50.1
21.721.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Third
1719
#50
10.80.5
8.99.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End2.6
blue by 8.4
8326
#36
19.10.1
16.916.8
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed