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Red95
12228.5
61923.9
533830.7
Blue86
40122.8
393920.8
313630.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions818170901009586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.8
28.028.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
blue by 0.2
3136
#31
30.90.4
28.128.5
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
Second
122
#23
28.50.8
24.225.0
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
red by 5.7
401
#27
22.80.4
25.726.1
Auto8.6
Teleop12.9
End1.3
Third
619
#39
23.90.8
21.522.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.8
End1.9
red by 3.2
3939
#25
20.80.4
19.419.8
Auto9.0
Teleop9.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsEarned